TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Hassan and Ryan Nijboer in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Ryan Nijboer. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Benjamin Hassan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Hassan and Ryan Nijboer in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Ryan Nijboer. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Nijboer' if Ryan Nijboer advances against Benjamin Hassan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for a share representing the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Maia fight between Benjamin Hassan and Ryan Nijboer, as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The outcome will be determined by which fighter is declared the winner of the match. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s guidelines.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the fighters and the event will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.