TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis more quickly. However, as an event approaches, the odds on Polymarket and sportsbook lines often converge, representing a combined assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the Pellegrino vs Giustino match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Pellegrino vs Giustino match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result that will determine the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could create noticeable price swings. Monitoring sports news, social media sentiment, and trading volume will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities in this market.