TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a women's professional Senior Women T20 cricket match between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. The result depends solely on which team is officially declared the winner by the governing body. Any scenario where no clear winner is determined results in a neutral resolution.
The event resolves based on the official outcome of the women's professional Senior Women T20 cricket match between Maharashtra Women and Chhattisgarh Women. If either team is declared the winner by the governing body at the conclusion of the match, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly. Should the match end in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, if the match has not started, all markets resolve to $0.50. However, if the governing body declares an official winner after play has begun, the market will resolve based on that declared result. The event explicitly states that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s assessment, or simply a different interpretation of the available data. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to that outcome by the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price effectively represents the market’s consensus forecast for the Maharashtra vs Chhattisgarh Women's cricket match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maharashtra vs Chhattisgarh Women's cricket match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the final market price.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team composition, or weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or significant strategic announcements from either team could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news and analysis, can impact trading activity and drive price movement in this market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.