TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
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2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:10h:43m
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This group forecasts the winner of a single NBA game between the Orlando Magic and the Golden State Warriors, scheduled for November 7th/8th, 2026. The markets resolve to either the Magic winning or the Warriors winning, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified deadline.
In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Warriors, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Warriors, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-11-08 01:30 UTC: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by individuals betting on what they believe will happen. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced information or expert opinions. However, both types of odds aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and comparing them can offer valuable insights into the potential outcome of the Magic-Warriors game.
Prices on Polymarket and Opinion for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions reflected in the market prices. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders set the odds by buying and selling – differ between Polymarket and Opinion, contributing to potential discrepancies in the perceived probability of outcomes for the Magic-Warriors game.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 8, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final result of the Magic versus Warriors game, verified against credible public reporting. Once official results are available, the platform will confirm the winning outcome based on the game's completion. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market, providing clarity on the final result of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even shifts in public sentiment, can also drive price movements. Major news events or external factors affecting team morale could also play a role. Traders should closely monitor these signals and adjust their positions accordingly as the Magic-Warriors game approaches and new information becomes available.