TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Exact Margin: Magic by 1-5
- Polymarket
Exact Margin: Magic by 1-5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:20h:19m
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Exact margin markets for Magic vs. Suns.
Exact margin markets for Magic vs. Suns.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular margin is more probable than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the same information. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders deposit collateral and buy or sell shares representing different margin outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on collective beliefs. The market's depth and liquidity influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in sentiment. The most actively traded margins will have the tightest spreads.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference between the Magic and the Suns will be used to determine the winning margin. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Any potential adjustments or corrections to the official score will be considered during the resolution process, but the primary source will be the official game results as reported by the league.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Magic or the Suns would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, such as winning or losing streaks, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also move the market. Furthermore, any public statements from key players or analysts offering insights into the game’s likely outcome could influence trading activity on Polymarket. Keep an eye on these developments as the game approaches.