TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Magic vs. Lakers
Volume:
$11,629,989
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NBA game between the Orlando Magic and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for February 24, 2025 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, over/unders on team totals, first-half outcomes, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists) across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Orlando win or Los Angeles win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's malformed market. For all Magic vs Lakers event resolution, rely exclusively on Polymarket's detailed framework: official final score including overtime, halftime scores for first-half markets, and NBA.com box scores for player statistics. If game is postponed, markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Magic if Magic win, Lakers if Lakers win. Spreads resolve based on margin (Lakers -6.5 requires 7+ point win, -5.5 requires 6+ point win, -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Over/unders on team totals use specific thresholds (227, 228, 229, 230, 231 combined points). Player props resolve Yes if stat exceeds threshold, No if at or below. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Official NBA box score on NBA.com.
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Orlando wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles L wins...resolves to Yes'. No explicit No outcome or tie-handling protocol provided. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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