TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. As a result, you may find that the implied probability of an outcome in this market differs from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets aggregate information and wisdom of the crowd more efficiently than traditional methods, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders, creating a real-time forecast of the game’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Magic versus Grizzlies game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Magic win or a Grizzlies win – occurred based on this official result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be able to claim their winnings at that time, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or illnesses for either the Magic or the Grizzlies would likely cause a shift in the odds. Significant changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or internal team dynamics could also move this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, though the market typically weighs this information alongside more concrete data.