TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Magic vs. Bulls
Volume:
$2,798,524
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the game (logical contradiction making the market unresolvable), while Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Magic' or 'Bulls' based on the actual winner. Kalshi's binary YES/NO structure is fundamentally incompatible with a two-outcome sporting event.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market — it contains a logical error that makes it unresolvable. Polymarket's Magic vs. Bulls moneyline is the correct market to use for betting on the game winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Chicago wins... the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Orlando wins... the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve YES. This makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Chicago wins the Orlando at Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins the Orlando at Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket's moneyline market correctly resolves to either 'Magic' or 'Bulls' based on the actual winner, with clear tie-breaking and postponement rules. All player prop and spread markets on Polymarket use NBA.com official box scores as the resolution source. Key quote: 'If the Magic win, the market will resolve to Magic. If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to Bulls.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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