TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Madura United and Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Madura United vs Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Madura United wins, the 'Madura United' market resolves to Yes. If Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia wins, the 'Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time and does not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price for that outcome will decrease, indicating higher implied probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Madura United vs Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia match as reported by official league sources. The contract corresponding to the winning team will pay out, while contracts for losing teams will be worth $0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's settlement.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets could all contribute to price movements in this market. Keep an eye on these factors as the match approaches.