TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Madura United vs. Arema FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Madura United vs. Arema FC?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$3,171
14%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Madura United

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:12h:23m

Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Madura United

Trade
41%
Yes 42¢No 61¢
3¢
$938
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 23m
Active
kalshi

Madura United

Trade
N/A
N/A
31¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 23m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 17¢Max: 31¢
polymarket

Draw (Madura United vs. Arema FC)

Trade
27%
Yes 29¢No 75¢
4¢
$1,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 23m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
28¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 23m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 16¢Max: 28¢
polymarket

Arema FC

Trade
32%
Yes 34¢No 70¢
4¢
$1,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 23m
Active
kalshi

Arema FC

Trade
N/A
N/A
31¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 23m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 17.5¢Max: 31¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a professional Indonesia Super League soccer game between Madura United and Arema FC, scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Madura United, Arema FC, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes specific no-result provisions for game cancellations or abandonment, while Kalshi does not address these scenarios.Hero tip: Consider the possibility of game cancellation or abandonment when trading on Polymarket, as this could lead to a 'No' resolution even if the game doesn't reach a natural conclusion. Kalshi markets are more exposed to the risk of a definitive result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'No' (Madura United win) or 'Yes' (Draw) if the game is canceled, doesn't start, or is abandoned without a result by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Abandoned games are resolved based on the governing body's ruling.
  • Kalshi: Focuses solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit provisions for cancellations or abandonment are mentioned.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Indonesia Liga 1 game between Madura United and Arema FC, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Madura United vs Arema FC professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for November 6, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Madura United win, Arema FC win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result within regulation time, with no account for post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides, while prediction markets allow users to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on trader activity. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced view of the likely outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights into Indonesian football, leading to different probability assessments. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $0 total – can influence price discovery. Different fee structures or trading limits on Polymarket versus Kalshi could also contribute to these price discrepancies, as they affect the incentives for traders to buy or sell.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Madura United vs. Arema FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome and associated payouts following the completion of the game and verification of the final score.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Madura United or Arema FC would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding coaching changes, stadium conditions, or even weather forecasts could play a role. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis from football experts might sway the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.