TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Spanish Liga F soccer match between Madrid CFF and Deportivo, scheduled for October 31, 2026. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Madrid CFF wins, Deportivo wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Madrid CFF vs Deportivo professional Spanish Liga F soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026: a win for Madrid CFF, a win for Deportivo, or a tie. All outcomes are determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie after this regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's general rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a sportsbook’s internal models. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see this market react quickly to new information and adjust probabilities more dynamically than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Madrid CFF vs Deportivo match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts based on the final score and game outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities.