TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Madeira and Santa Clara Azores. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds set for different markets. The match is part of the Liga Portugal and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a threshold for the total number of goals scored in the Madeira vs Santa Clara Azores professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets, Kalshi, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity, with each market offering a different perspective on the match's offensive outcome.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. The goal is for the contracts to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, allowing traders to profit from correctly anticipating the result of the Madeira vs Santa Clara match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Madeira vs Santa Clara match will be used to determine the winning contracts. This includes any goals scored during regular play or added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Madeira or Santa Clara would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in public opinion about their performance, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring team news and analyzing recent performance will be key to understanding potential market movements.