TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$1,071
17%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Madagascar

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:22h:40m

Madagascar wins

31%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 31¢ buys you 323 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $323 | Net Profit: $223 Multiplier: 3.23x | ROI: 223% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Madagascar

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Madagascar

Trade
26%
Yes 31¢No 79¢
10¢
$655
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 10¢Max: 10¢
kalshi

Guinea-Bissau

Trade
N/A
N/A
13¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Guinea-Bissau

Trade
47%
Yes 53¢No 60¢
13¢
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 13¢Max: 13¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau)

Trade
28%
Yes 33¢No 78¢
11¢
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 11¢Max: 11¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a soccer match between Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers. Markets exist on Madagascar winning, Guinea-Bissau winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides extensive no-result and abandonment rules with a clear deadline, while Kalshi's rules are less specific regarding timing and fallback scenarios.Hero tip: Polymarket's detailed abandonment rules offer more clarity and predictability. Be aware of the November 14, 2026, deadline on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Detailed abandonment rules are provided.
  • Kalshi: If the game is abandoned, the market resolves based on the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers. No specific deadline or fallback is mentioned.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Madagascar wins the Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Guinea-Bissau wins the Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. The dashboard displays probabilities for various outcomes, giving a comprehensive overview of expectations surrounding this sporting event. It’s a valuable tool for anyone interested in understanding where the crowd stands on the likely winner of this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a house edge and public perception. Prediction markets, however, are driven by actual trading volume and reflect what participants believe will happen. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ often outperforms individual expert opinions. While sportsbooks may initially influence the market, prediction markets tend to converge on a true probability as more information becomes available and more volume is traded in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau match will be used to determine the winning outcome. This includes official match results published by governing bodies and widely available sports news sources. The resolution will be based on the official, final score of the match, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the outcome for this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player availability for the Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau match would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by media coverage and social media discussions, can also drive price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect the market, as traders adjust their overall risk assessments.