TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional soccer match in Serbia's SuperLiga between Macva and Crvena Zvezda. The result is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.
The event resolves based on the result of the Macva vs Crvena Zvezda professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Macva wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Crvena Zvezda wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing only on regular time results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the result. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbian basketball match between Macva and Crvena Zvezda, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team is declared the winner according to the official score. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The final result will be publicly available after the game’s completion.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or team performance in preceding games could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would also likely impact the odds. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams can play a role, as can any significant shifts in betting patterns observed on Kalshi. A strong performance by one team in a recent match, or a key player being ruled out due to illness, could all lead to substantial price movements.