TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Machida Z and Avispa, focusing on whether the combined score exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final count of goals after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Machida Z versus Avispa Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment—from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the regulation time of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are explicitly excluded from all calculations. While each threshold represents a distinct market, they collectively measure varying levels of scoring intensity in the same match, with all outcomes determined by the final goal count under standard playing conditions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Machida Z vs Avispa match and the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Machida Z vs Avispa match will be the determining factor. Official match data from a recognized sports data provider will be used to verify the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the match closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Machida Z or Avispa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about referee assignments or potential controversies could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.