TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This group resolves based on the outcome of a Euroleague basketball game between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Olimpia Milano. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 8 at 12:00PM ET: If the Maccabi Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Tel Aviv". If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins the Olimpia Milano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Olimpia Milano wins the Olimpia Milano vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano game. Trading mechanisms and fee structures also vary between the two, influencing how and where traders choose to express their beliefs. Furthermore, differing liquidity—reflected in the current volume of $190,726—can create price discrepancies. Finally, the specific question wording on each platform, while aiming for consistency, can subtly influence market participants' interpretations and, consequently, their trading behavior.