TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$321,553,888
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,994,878,661
419,895
Markets across
39,929
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Israeli Premier League soccer match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Haifa. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event considers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa professional Israeli Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: Maccabi Tel Aviv win, Hapoel Haifa win, or a tie (draw). If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s procedures. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's significant uncertainty or disagreement among traders. Examining the differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Essentially, the market 'aggregates' the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi to determine the probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the resolution process are outlined on Kalshi to ensure transparency and fairness for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Maccabi Tel Aviv or Hapoel Haifa would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions or significant news related to the teams or players could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.