TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:14h:46m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Maccabi Tel Aviv FC and Maccabi Petah Tikva FC in the Israel Premier League. Markets exist for each team winning and for a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Israel Premier League game between Maccabi Tel Aviv FC and Maccabi Petah Tikva FC, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The market resolves based on the result of the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Israeli Premier League soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv, a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will be settled at a fair price according to the defined procedures. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the league, without regard to any post-match events or tie-breaking methods such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while prediction markets aim to reflect true probabilities as determined by traders. This market's price can be influenced by information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines, such as real-time team news or subtle shifts in public sentiment. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge their bets and express more nuanced opinions than simple win/loss wagers, leading to potentially more accurate forecasts.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Petah Tikva match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and discrepancies. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across different prediction market venues.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Petah Tikva match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official match results from trusted sports news sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the progress of the match and the potential outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence trading activity on this market before Nov 6, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Maccabi Tel Aviv or Maccabi Petah Tikva would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Significant changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also move the market. Finally, major weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on match day could influence predictions and trading volume.