TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Super League (Israel) game, scheduled for October 12 at 1:05PM ET: If the Maccabi Rishon LeZion win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Rishon LeZion". If the Hapoel Eilat win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Eilat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Super League (Israel) game, scheduled for October 12 at 1:05PM ET: If the Maccabi Rishon LeZion win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Rishon LeZion". If the Hapoel Eilat win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Eilat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning traders are incentivized to express their honest beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate predictions than traditional polling or expert opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maccabi Rishon LeZion versus Hapoel Eilat basketball game. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified results of this matchup.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in weather conditions (if the game is outdoors, though unlikely for basketball), could also play a role. Furthermore, major announcements related to the teams or the league itself could impact the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the game’s resolution.