TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an Israeli Premier League soccer match between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market addresses that scenario.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa professional Israeli Premier League soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva resolves the 'Maccabi Petah Tikva' market to Yes; a win for Maccabi Haifa resolves the 'Maccabi Haifa' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage time, with no account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the opinions of many traders. Over time, as more information becomes available and more people trade, the prediction market odds tend to become more accurate. It’s common to see this market odds adjust more dynamically to new information than traditional sportsbook lines, as traders react in real-time to changing circumstances and analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Maccabi Petah Tikva or Maccabi Haifa could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role. Furthermore, general news and analysis about team performance, recent match results, and tactical approaches could all contribute to shifts in market sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess probabilities.