TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Macarthur FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC.
This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Macarthur FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they diverge significantly from the probabilities expressed in this market. It's always wise to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among users on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined formulas.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the A-League soccer match between Macarthur FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC as reported by official league sources. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team or to 100% for the draw if the match ends in a tie. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Macarthur FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Any news regarding team form, tactical changes, or managerial decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Finally, major news events impacting the broader A-League competition could indirectly affect the probabilities reflected in this market, as traders adjust their assessments based on the latest information.