TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:01h:39m
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In the upcoming match between Macarthur FC and Brisbane Roar FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Macarthur FC" if Macarthur FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Roar FC" if Brisbane Roar FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Macarthur FC and Brisbane Roar FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Macarthur FC" if Macarthur FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Roar FC" if Brisbane Roar FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially offering more favorable odds if there's disagreement or a perceived mispricing. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the 'true' probabilities more accurately, especially when a large number of participants are involved, but differences can still occur based on differing information and analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, making it a responsive indicator of expectations for the Macarthur vs. Brisbane match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on which team scores the first goal in the Macarthur FC versus Brisbane Roar FC match. Official match records will be used to determine the first goalscorer, and the market will settle based on that information. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Macarthur FC or Brisbane Roar FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, as could any late-breaking news regarding team selection or potential controversies. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 8, 2026.