TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Ecuador's LigaPro league between two teams. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Macara vs Ind. del Valle professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time — Macara for the first market, Ind. del Valle for the second market, or a tied score for the third market. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers results from regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies into their pricing, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations of participants regarding the Macara vs Ind. del Valle match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Macara vs Ind. del Valle match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the final result and the timing of settlement. The market's outcome will be determined by the final score of the match.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations and influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, can drive price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market and anticipating potential changes in the odds.