TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams, M80 and DarkZero Esports, are set to compete in a Rainbow Six Siege match on October 15, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures a victory in their respective league stages prior to the match date.
The market resolves to Yes if either M80 wins the North America League Stage 2 2026 or DarkZero Esports wins the same league stage, leading to the scheduled match on Oct 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic and responsive market. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a consensus view of the likely result of the M80 vs. DarkZero match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the M80 vs. DarkZero match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price of that contract at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either M80 or DarkZero Esports would likely cause price fluctuations. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as rule changes or venue adjustments, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets from influential traders or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or analyst predictions, could drive price movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.