TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Sander Jong in the M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Sander Jong. This market will resolve to 'Sander Jong' if Sander Jong advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Sander Jong in the M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Sander Jong. This market will resolve to 'Sander Jong' if Sander Jong advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Analyzing both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Zaragoza tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Sander Jong. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares. The final result will be clearly displayed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected by betting activity, will also drive price movements. Even seemingly minor updates, such as weather forecasts or reports on court surface conditions, can contribute to fluctuations in the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the probability of each outcome.