TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Alexander Ritschard in the M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Alexander Ritschard. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ritschard' if Alexander Ritschard advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Alexander Ritschard in the M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Alexander Ritschard. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ritschard' if Alexander Ritschard advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of Alejandro Moro Canas or Alexander Ritschard winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M25 Zaragoza tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Alexander Ritschard. The winner as declared by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment regarding the likely winner of the Zaragoza tennis match. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.