TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Aren Baybars and Marc Ros Mesas in the M25 Valencia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 12:04PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aren Baybars' if Aren Baybars advances against Marc Ros Mesas. This market will resolve to 'Marc Ros Mesas' if Marc Ros Mesas advances against Aren Baybars. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aren Baybars and Marc Ros Mesas in the M25 Valencia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 12:04PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aren Baybars' if Aren Baybars advances against Marc Ros Mesas. This market will resolve to 'Marc Ros Mesas' if Marc Ros Mesas advances against Aren Baybars. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Valencia M25 tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Valencia M25 tennis match between Aren Baybars and Marc Ros Mesas. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The final result will determine which shares payout and at what rate, based on the probabilities established by trading activity leading up to resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts, updates on player form, and even social media sentiment can all play a role in how traders adjust their positions. A strong performance by either Aren Baybars or Marc Ros Mesas in a preceding match would likely cause a noticeable movement in this market as traders reassess their probabilities.