TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zane Stevens and Matthew Shearer in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zane Stevens' if Zane Stevens advances against Matthew Shearer. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Zane Stevens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zane Stevens and Matthew Shearer in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zane Stevens' if Zane Stevens advances against Matthew Shearer. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Shearer' if Matthew Shearer advances against Zane Stevens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as they aggregate diverse perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each boxer winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective prediction. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential result of the M25 Tamworth boxing match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the M25 Tamworth match. This includes determining which boxer is officially declared the winner, whether by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. News regarding either boxer’s training, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly shift sentiment. Public statements from the fighters themselves, or analysis from boxing experts, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in the venue or rules, could also cause the market to react. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either boxer winning has the potential to move the market.