TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zane Stevens and Cody Atkinson in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zane Stevens' if Zane Stevens advances against Cody Atkinson. This market will resolve to 'Cody Atkinson' if Cody Atkinson advances against Zane Stevens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zane Stevens and Cody Atkinson in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zane Stevens' if Zane Stevens advances against Cody Atkinson. This market will resolve to 'Cody Atkinson' if Cody Atkinson advances against Zane Stevens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point when evaluating the potential outcome of the Tamworth boxing match, and comparing them to the probabilities expressed in this market can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus informed speculation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, meaning a share priced at 60 represents a 60% chance of that outcome being correct. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Zane Stevens and Cody Atkinson in Tamworth. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the fight and the shares they hold in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market leading up to the fight. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected changes in betting odds at traditional sportsbooks could also create arbitrage opportunities and move prices on Polymarket. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely cause the market to react and adjust accordingly.