TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Scott Jones and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scott Jones' if Scott Jones advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Scott Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Scott Jones and Chase Ferguson in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scott Jones' if Scott Jones advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Scott Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise, access to unique data, or simply the collective impact of many individual opinions. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal undervalued or overvalued outcomes, offering potential trading advantages.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to the latest developments surrounding the Tamworth boxing match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Tamworth boxing match. Any official announcement regarding the winner of the bout will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders holding shares in the correct outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health status, or any reported injuries would likely have a significant impact. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as any analysis from boxing experts, could also move the market. Unexpected changes in the fight card or venue, or even shifts in public sentiment based on social media trends, could all contribute to price fluctuations leading up to Nov 4, 2026.