TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavle Marinkov and Blake Ellis in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavle Marinkov' if Pavle Marinkov advances against Blake Ellis. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Pavle Marinkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavle Marinkov and Blake Ellis in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavle Marinkov' if Pavle Marinkov advances against Blake Ellis. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Pavle Marinkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as information and opinions evolve. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Tamworth boxing match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform's standard procedures, but the initial official declaration is the primary determinant.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact trading activity. Public opinion, as reflected in social media and online forums, can sometimes play a role, especially if it suggests a significant shift in perceived fighter capabilities. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either fighter winning are likely to move the market.