TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Baker and Ryuichiro Nakano in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Baker' if Nikolas Baker advances against Ryuichiro Nakano. This market will resolve to 'Ryuichiro Nakano' if Ryuichiro Nakano advances against Nikolas Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Baker and Ryuichiro Nakano in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Baker' if Nikolas Baker advances against Ryuichiro Nakano. This market will resolve to 'Ryuichiro Nakano' if Ryuichiro Nakano advances against Nikolas Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the fight's potential result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Baker vs Nakano fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The fighter who is officially declared the winner will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or adjustments to their fight strategies could shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in weight class or venue, could also cause substantial movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.