TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Naoki Nakagawa in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Naoki Nakagawa. This market will resolve to 'Naoki Nakagawa' if Naoki Nakagawa advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Naoki Nakagawa in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Naoki Nakagawa. This market will resolve to 'Naoki Nakagawa' if Naoki Nakagawa advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply varying levels of expertise among participants. If there is a significant difference between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Dellavedova vs Nakagawa match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, represents the probability that a specific outcome will occur. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds closely align with the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dellavedova vs Nakagawa match, as reported by the governing body or official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Matthew Dellavedova or Naoki Nakagawa, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Finally, general news and analysis surrounding the match, including expert opinions and public sentiment, may cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.