TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luke McMillan and Alec Braund in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke McMillan' if Luke McMillan advances against Alec Braund. This market will resolve to 'Alec Braund' if Alec Braund advances against Luke McMillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luke McMillan and Alec Braund in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke McMillan' if Luke McMillan advances against Alec Braund. This market will resolve to 'Alec Braund' if Alec Braund advances against Luke McMillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the M25 Tamworth election are verifiable from credible public reporting. The candidate who receives the most votes, as declared by the official electoral authorities, will be considered the winner. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will reflect the official count, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 24, 2026. Major campaign events, such as debates or rallies, could shift public opinion and influence trading activity. Unexpected endorsements from prominent figures or the release of polling data showing a substantial change in support for either candidate could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, any unforeseen events impacting either candidate’s campaign, such as controversies or policy announcements, could lead to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.