TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luke Cripps and Samarth Patel in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Cripps' if Luke Cripps advances against Samarth Patel. This market will resolve to 'Samarth Patel' if Samarth Patel advances against Luke Cripps. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luke Cripps and Samarth Patel in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Cripps' if Luke Cripps advances against Samarth Patel. This market will resolve to 'Samarth Patel' if Samarth Patel advances against Luke Cripps. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market participants. The higher the price of a share, the greater the perceived chance of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities for the M25 Tamworth election. Once these results are publicly available and independently verified, the market will settle, and winning shares will be redeemable for the predetermined payout amount. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome and resolution timing.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 25, 2026. Major campaign events, such as debates or rallies, could shift public opinion and impact trading activity. Unexpected endorsements from prominent figures or the release of polling data showing a significant change in voter preferences could also cause movement. Any significant news related to the candidates, such as policy announcements or controversies, could also lead to shifts in the market. Finally, broader political events or economic developments could indirectly affect the outcome and therefore this market.