TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Connaughton and Brydan Mcleod in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Connaughton' if Luca Connaughton advances against Brydan Mcleod. This market will resolve to 'Brydan Mcleod' if Brydan Mcleod advances against Luca Connaughton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Connaughton and Brydan Mcleod in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Connaughton' if Luca Connaughton advances against Brydan Mcleod. This market will resolve to 'Brydan Mcleod' if Brydan Mcleod advances against Luca Connaughton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants. The current price of shares indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of each boxer winning the M25 Tamworth fight.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the M25 Tamworth fight between Luca Connaughton and Brydan Mcleod. The boxer declared the winner by the official decision will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered based on publicly available information and rulings from relevant authorities.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause price fluctuations. Pre-fight press conferences and weigh-ins could also impact sentiment, especially if either boxer displays unexpected confidence or vulnerability. Public analysis from boxing experts and shifts in betting odds at sportsbooks could further contribute to movement in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter’s chances of winning has the potential to shift the market.