TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Girdler and Dimitri Bagaric in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Girdler' if James Girdler advances against Dimitri Bagaric. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against James Girdler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Girdler and Dimitri Bagaric in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Girdler' if James Girdler advances against Dimitri Bagaric. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against James Girdler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The market’s price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the M25 Tamworth boxing match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, technical knockout, or disqualification will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered by Polymarket’s resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. News regarding injuries to either James Girdler or Dimitri Bagaric would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Public statements from trainers or analysts offering insights into the fighters' preparation and strategy could also influence trading activity. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or rules, or even significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential trading opportunities.