TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Becroft and Stefan Vujic in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Becroft' if Isaac Becroft advances against Stefan Vujic. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Vujic' if Stefan Vujic advances against Isaac Becroft. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Becroft and Stefan Vujic in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Becroft' if Isaac Becroft advances against Stefan Vujic. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Vujic' if Stefan Vujic advances against Isaac Becroft. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, we often see the prediction market diverge. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand; if more people believe Becroft will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards Vujic, those shares will become more valuable. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The fighter declared the winner by the official judges or via knockout/technical knockout will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will not affect the market resolution, provided a clear winner is declared by the official source.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also trigger adjustments. Furthermore, any analysis released by boxing experts or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances could move the market. A significant shift in volume, indicating increased interest or conviction, would also be a key signal to watch.