TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Harrison Satara and Blake Ellis in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Satara' if Harrison Satara advances against Blake Ellis. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Harrison Satara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harrison Satara and Blake Ellis in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Satara' if Harrison Satara advances against Blake Ellis. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Harrison Satara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying incentives of participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to developments. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly evolving as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions about the Tamworth boxing match. The market's efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Tamworth boxing match. The winner of the fight, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s standard procedures, but the initial official declaration will be the primary factor in determining resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any potential injuries would be major catalysts. Changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading activity. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as any analysis from boxing experts, might shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments related to the fight’s venue or scheduling could also impact the odds. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either boxer winning has the potential to move this market.