TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Dench and Eric Padgham in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Dench' if Ethan Dench advances against Eric Padgham. This market will resolve to 'Eric Padgham' if Eric Padgham advances against Ethan Dench. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Dench and Eric Padgham in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Dench' if Ethan Dench advances against Eric Padgham. This market will resolve to 'Eric Padgham' if Eric Padgham advances against Ethan Dench. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the result, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the boxing match between Ethan Dench and Eric Padgham in Tamworth. Verification will rely on widely accepted sources such as official boxing records and reputable sports news outlets. The platform will assess the information and determine the winning outcome based on these publicly available and verifiable sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause significant movement. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s conditions, such as a change in venue or rules, could also impact trading. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely be reflected in the market price.