TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitri Bagaric and Nick Beamish in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Nick Beamish. This market will resolve to 'Nick Beamish' if Nick Beamish advances against Dimitri Bagaric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitri Bagaric and Nick Beamish in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Nick Beamish. This market will resolve to 'Nick Beamish' if Nick Beamish advances against Dimitri Bagaric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a candidate, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, and traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their assessment of the evolving situation. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results declared by the relevant electoral authorities for the M25 Tamworth election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the election results are announced and verified.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Major endorsements from prominent political figures, unexpected shifts in polling data, or significant campaign events could all influence trader sentiment. Any controversies or scandals involving the candidates could also lead to substantial price adjustments. Furthermore, changes in voter turnout expectations or external events impacting the election’s focus could play a role. Monitoring news coverage, social media trends, and any official statements from the campaigns will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.