TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Derek Pham and Jeremy Beale in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Derek Pham' if Derek Pham advances against Jeremy Beale. This market will resolve to 'Jeremy Beale' if Jeremy Beale advances against Derek Pham. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Derek Pham and Jeremy Beale in the M25 Tamworth, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Derek Pham' if Derek Pham advances against Jeremy Beale. This market will resolve to 'Jeremy Beale' if Jeremy Beale advances against Derek Pham. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular candidate, the price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the election's potential results. This allows traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the M25 Tamworth election.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results declared by the relevant electoral authorities for the M25 Tamworth election. The candidate who receives the most votes will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will be settled. The platform will verify the results against these sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major events such as televised debates, candidate gaffes, or significant policy announcements could shift voter sentiment and, consequently, market prices. Unexpected endorsements from prominent figures or shifts in public opinion polls could also trigger substantial movement. Additionally, any news related to campaign funding, legal challenges, or voter turnout projections could impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments in the M25 Tamworth election will be crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.