TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bogdan Kozlov and Michael Caspanello in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Kozlov' if Bogdan Kozlov advances against Michael Caspanello. This market will resolve to 'Michael Caspanello' if Michael Caspanello advances against Bogdan Kozlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bogdan Kozlov and Michael Caspanello in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Kozlov' if Bogdan Kozlov advances against Michael Caspanello. This market will resolve to 'Michael Caspanello' if Michael Caspanello advances against Bogdan Kozlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price of shares indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a specific fighter winning the Kozlov vs Caspanello match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kozlov vs Caspanello match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The fighter who is officially declared the winner will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. The market will close and settle shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also have an impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market isn't necessarily tied to those sources. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters' chances of winning could move this market.