TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Correa and Zaharije-Zak Talic in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Correa' if Adrian Correa advances against Zaharije-Zak Talic. This market will resolve to 'Zaharije-Zak Talic' if Zaharije-Zak Talic advances against Adrian Correa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Correa and Zaharije-Zak Talic in the M25 Tamworth, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Correa' if Adrian Correa advances against Zaharije-Zak Talic. This market will resolve to 'Zaharije-Zak Talic' if Zaharije-Zak Talic advances against Adrian Correa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may see differences in probabilities assigned to various results. It’s common to observe prediction markets reacting more quickly to new information and potentially offering more accurate forecasts than sportsbook odds, though this isn’t always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result of the Correa vs Talic match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Tamworth boxing match between Adrian Correa and Zaharije-Zak Talic. This includes a determination of which fighter is declared the winner by the official judges or through a knockout or technical knockout. The result will be publicly available and used to determine the winning shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's conditions, such as a late change of venue or rules adjustments, could also lead to price movements. Public perception and analysis from boxing experts, as well as any significant betting activity observed elsewhere, may also impact the probabilities reflected in this market.