TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pranav Karthik and Anup Bangargi in the M25 Solapur, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pranav Karthik' if Pranav Karthik advances against Anup Bangargi. This market will resolve to 'Anup Bangargi' if Anup Bangargi advances against Pranav Karthik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pranav Karthik and Anup Bangargi in the M25 Solapur, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pranav Karthik' if Pranav Karthik advances against Anup Bangargi. This market will resolve to 'Anup Bangargi' if Anup Bangargi advances against Pranav Karthik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of individuals, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the incentives of traders who are financially motivated to accurately predict the outcome. If there is a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to consider both sources of information when evaluating the likelihood of events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The market is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Solapur tennis match, determining which player ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The exact payout will depend on the share price when the market closes.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.