TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mayand Tewary and Caheer Warik in the M25 Solapur, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mayand Tewary' if Mayand Tewary advances against Caheer Warik. This market will resolve to 'Caheer Warik' if Caheer Warik advances against Mayand Tewary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mayand Tewary and Caheer Warik in the M25 Solapur, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mayand Tewary' if Mayand Tewary advances against Caheer Warik. This market will resolve to 'Caheer Warik' if Caheer Warik advances against Mayand Tewary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different assessment than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the differing information sources and participant expertise influencing each. Sportsbooks typically focus on publicly available information and statistical models, while this market benefits from the wisdom of the crowd and potentially insider knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in events where there’s a lot of uncertainty or subjective factors at play. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each candidate winning the M25 Solapur election. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, changing sentiment, and strategic trading activity, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the election's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the M25 Solapur election, as declared by the relevant electoral authorities, will be used to determine the winning candidate. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the candidate who receives the most votes, according to these official results. Traders holding shares in the winning candidate will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing candidate will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major developments in the candidates' campaigns, such as significant endorsements, impactful debates, or unexpected policy announcements, could all shift trader sentiment. Polling data released in the lead-up to the election will also be closely watched and could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected news events related to the candidates or the political landscape could also influence the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information and perceived probabilities.