TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jagmeet Singh and Aniketh Venkataraman in the M25 Solapur, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jagmeet Singh' if Jagmeet Singh advances against Aniketh Venkataraman. This market will resolve to 'Aniketh Venkataraman' if Aniketh Venkataraman advances against Jagmeet Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jagmeet Singh and Aniketh Venkataraman in the M25 Solapur, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jagmeet Singh' if Jagmeet Singh advances against Aniketh Venkataraman. This market will resolve to 'Aniketh Venkataraman' if Aniketh Venkataraman advances against Jagmeet Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate new information more rapidly than traditional betting markets, leading to adjustments in probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, offering a forward-looking assessment of the tournament’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Solapur M25 tournament, determining which player ultimately wins. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by a particular player, could also lead to substantial movements. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the players and the tournament itself. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.