TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.1b
24H VOL:
$337,672,170
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,360,784
421,272
Markets across
40,138
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,437
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladislav Melnic and Ivan Dorokhov in the M25 Sheffield, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladislav Melnic' if Vladislav Melnic advances against Ivan Dorokhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dorokhov' if Ivan Dorokhov advances against Vladislav Melnic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladislav Melnic and Ivan Dorokhov in the M25 Sheffield, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladislav Melnic' if Vladislav Melnic advances against Ivan Dorokhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Dorokhov' if Ivan Dorokhov advances against Vladislav Melnic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in this market to capitalize on the discrepancy. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities converge towards what many consider the ‘true’ probability as the event approaches, potentially offering insights beyond traditional betting odds. This can be a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of success. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the M25 Sheffield match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sheffield match between Vladislav Melnic and Ivan Dorokhov. The platform will verify the winner through official sources and declare the outcome accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official announcements for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in the competitive scene or expert analysis predicting the likely winner could sway traders’ opinions. Significant volume spikes, particularly close to Nov 2, 2026, often indicate new information or a change in prevailing beliefs about the M25 Sheffield match, potentially leading to price fluctuations.