TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Marterer and Johannus Monday in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Marterer' if Maximilian Marterer advances against Johannus Monday. This market will resolve to 'Johannus Monday' if Johannus Monday advances against Maximilian Marterer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Marterer and Johannus Monday in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Marterer' if Maximilian Marterer advances against Johannus Monday. This market will resolve to 'Johannus Monday' if Johannus Monday advances against Maximilian Marterer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it may suggest that market participants have access to information or insights not yet incorporated by sportsbooks. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and trader sentiment surrounding the Marterer vs Monday match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Marterer vs Monday match, as officially recorded by tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will occur promptly following the completion of the match and verification of the official results, allowing traders to collect their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create price movements as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings in the Marterer vs Monday match.