TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Ponchet and Stijn Pel in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Ponchet' if Matt Ponchet advances against Stijn Pel. This market will resolve to 'Stijn Pel' if Stijn Pel advances against Matt Ponchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Ponchet and Stijn Pel in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Ponchet' if Matt Ponchet advances against Stijn Pel. This market will resolve to 'Stijn Pel' if Stijn Pel advances against Matt Ponchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Sheffield M25 match between Matt Ponchet and Stijn Pel. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to their strategies could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of either athlete winning. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from respected commentators or experts. Major shifts in trading volume, driven by new information or changing sentiment, are also likely to move the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.